Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2014-09-20T15:00:00Z

WTPQ21 RJTD 201500

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1416 FUNG-WONG (1416)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 201500UTC 20.9N 119.7E FAIR

MOVE N 07KT

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 045KT

GUST 065KT

30KT 300NM EAST 210NM WEST

FORECAST

24HF 211500UTC 25.3N 120.9E 85NM 70%

MOVE N 14KT

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 045KT

GUST 065KT

45HF 221200UTC 28.5N 121.6E 160NM 70%

MOVE N 10KT

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 045KT

GUST 065KT

69HF 231200UTC 31.3N 121.5E 220NM 70%

MOVE N 07KT

PRES 990HPA

MXWD 040KT

GUST 060KT =

Tropical Cyclone Warning for GMDSS Metarea XI 2014-09-20T15:00:00Z

WTJP92 RJTD 201500

EGC:2:1:31:11:01:00

SECURITE

THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE NORTH OF EQUATOR OF

METAREA XI(POR).

WARNING 201500.

WARNING VALID 211500.

STORM WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM 1416 FUNG-WONG (1416) 985 HPA

AT 20.9N 119.7E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS.

POSITION FAIR.

MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES

ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 22.5N 120.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 25.3N 120.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Tropical Cyclone Warning 2014-09-20T15:00:00Z

WTJP32 RJTD 201500

WARNING 201500.

WARNING VALID 211500.

STORM WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM 1416 FUNG-WONG (1416) 985 HPA

AT 20.9N 119.7E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS.

POSITION FAIR.

MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES

ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 22.5N 120.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 25.3N 120.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2014-09-20T12:00:00Z

FXPQ21 RJTD 201200

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1416 FUNG-WONG (1416)

PSTN 201200UTC 20.6N 119.7E

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 45KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 21.2N 120.0E -002HPA +001KT

T=12 22.0N 120.5E -004HPA +008KT

T=18 23.0N 121.5E -004HPA +012KT

T=24 24.8N 121.9E +005HPA -006KT

T=30 25.9N 121.8E +005HPA -012KT

T=36 26.9N 122.0E +006HPA -011KT

T=42 27.7N 122.0E +005HPA -009KT

T=48 28.5N 121.8E +009HPA -009KT

T=54 29.4N 121.3E +013HPA -016KT

T=60 30.1N 120.7E +018HPA -021KT

T=66 30.6N 120.4E +018HPA -026KT

T=72 31.0N 120.4E +020HPA -029KT

T=78 31.8N 121.0E +020HPA -026KT

T=84 32.7N 121.9E +020HPA -021KT=

Marine Weather Warning for Kushiro NAVTEX area 2014-09-20T12:00:00Z

WWJP75 RJTD 201200

IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA

201200UTC ISSUED AT 201500UTC

NO WARNING IN SEA AREA

NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 202100UTC

=