Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2014-10-31T00:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 310000

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TD

PSTN 310000UTC 12.3N 137.2E

PRES 1004HPA

MXWD 30KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 12.3N 135.5E -003HPA -001KT

T=012 12.3N 135.0E -001HPA 000KT

T=018 12.7N 134.7E -004HPA 000KT

T=024 13.3N 134.1E -002HPA 000KT

T=030 13.9N 133.7E -005HPA 000KT

T=036 14.4N 133.3E -002HPA 000KT

T=042 15.0N 133.1E -005HPA +001KT

T=048 15.5N 132.8E -003HPA +002KT

T=054 16.0N 132.6E -006HPA +003KT

T=060 16.5N 132.5E -004HPA +003KT

T=066 16.9N 132.5E -007HPA +005KT

T=072 17.3N 132.5E -005HPA +006KT

T=078 17.7N 132.7E -008HPA +007KT

T=084 18.0N 133.1E -006HPA +008KT

T=090 18.2N 133.4E -009HPA +009KT

T=096 18.6N 133.7E -007HPA +009KT

T=102 18.9N 133.9E -009HPA +010KT

T=108 19.0N 134.0E -008HPA +011KT

T=114 19.1N 133.9E -009HPA +011KT

T=120 19.2N 133.4E -007HPA +013KT

T=126 19.4N 132.8E -010HPA +014KT

T=132 19.6N 131.9E -008HPA +016KT=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2014-10-31T03:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 310300

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD

ANALYSIS

PSTN 310300UTC 12.2N 136.8E FAIR

MOVE W 10KT

PRES 1004HPA

MXWD 030KT

GUST 045KT

FORECAST

24HF 010300UTC 12.9N 132.9E 120NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT

PRES 996HPA

MXWD 040KT

GUST 060KT =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2014-10-31T00:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 310000

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TD

PSTN 310000UTC 12.3N 137.2E

PRES 1004HPA

MXWD 30KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 12.2N 135.5E -004HPA -001KT

T=12 12.3N 135.1E -001HPA +001KT

T=18 12.7N 134.5E -004HPA +001KT

T=24 13.3N 133.8E -002HPA 000KT

T=30 14.0N 133.4E -005HPA 000KT

T=36 14.5N 133.0E -003HPA +001KT

T=42 14.9N 132.5E -005HPA 000KT

T=48 15.4N 132.2E -004HPA +003KT

T=54 15.9N 131.8E -007HPA +002KT

T=60 16.1N 131.6E -006HPA +005KT

T=66 16.2N 131.6E -009HPA +006KT

T=72 16.5N 131.8E -008HPA +010KT

T=78 17.1N 132.1E -011HPA +010KT

T=84 17.6N 132.4E -010HPA +010KT=

Marine Weather Warning for Kushiro NAVTEX area 2014-10-31T00:00:00Z

WWJP75 RJTD 310000

IMPORTANT WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA

310000UTC ISSUED AT 310300UTC

WARNING(DENSE FOG) SEA EAST OF HOKKAIDO, SEA OFF KUSHIRO POOR

VISIBILITY 0.3 MILES OR LESS IN PLACES

NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 310900UTC

=

Marine Weather Warning for Otaru NAVTEX area 2014-10-31T00:00:00Z

WWJP74 RJTD 310000

IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA

310000UTC ISSUED AT 310300UTC

WARNING(DENSE FOG) SEA WEST OF HOKKAIDO, SEA OFF SOUTHERN COAST OF

MARITIME PROVINCE POOR VISIBILITY 0.3 MILES OR LESS IN PLACES

NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 310900UTC

=