Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Five-day Track Forecast 2015-08-02T12:00:00Z

WTPQ50 RJTD 021200

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TY 1513 SOUDELOR (1513)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 021200UTC 15.1N 146.0E GOOD

MOVE W 11KT

PRES 970HPA

MXWD 070KT

GUST 100KT

50KT 60NM

30KT 180NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH

FORECAST

24HF 031200UTC 17.0N 141.5E 75NM 70%

MOVE WNW 12KT

PRES 950HPA

MXWD 085KT

GUST 120KT

48HF 041200UTC 18.4N 137.5E 110NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT

PRES 935HPA

MXWD 095KT

GUST 135KT

72HF 051200UTC 20.0N 133.6E 160NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT

PRES 925HPA

MXWD 100KT

GUST 140KT

96HF 061200UTC 21.5N 129.6E 240NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT

120HF 071200UTC 23.3N 125.8E 300NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT =

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2015-08-02T12:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 021200

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TY 1513 SOUDELOR (1513)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 021200UTC 15.1N 146.0E GOOD

MOVE W 11KT

PRES 970HPA

MXWD 070KT

GUST 100KT

50KT 60NM

30KT 180NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH

FORECAST

24HF 031200UTC 17.0N 141.5E 75NM 70%

MOVE WNW 12KT

PRES 950HPA

MXWD 085KT

GUST 120KT

48HF 041200UTC 18.4N 137.5E 110NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT

PRES 935HPA

MXWD 095KT

GUST 135KT

72HF 051200UTC 20.0N 133.6E 160NM 70%

MOVE WNW 10KT

PRES 925HPA

MXWD 100KT

GUST 140KT =

Tropical Cyclone Warning for GMDSS Metarea XI 2015-08-02T12:00:00Z

WTJP81 RJTD 021200

EGC:2:2:31:11:01:00

PAN PAN

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING / ISSUED FOR THE NORTH OF EQUATOR OF METAREA

XI(POR).

WARNING 021200.

WARNING VALID 031200.

WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.

TYPHOON WARNING.

TYPHOON 1513 SOUDELOR (1513) 970 HPA

AT 15.1N 146.0E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.

POSITION GOOD.

MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.

RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES

ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 16.0N 143.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 17.0N 141.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 18.4N 137.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 20.0N 133.6E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Tropical Cyclone Warning 2015-08-02T12:00:00Z

WTJP21 RJTD 021200

WARNING 021200.

WARNING VALID 031200.

WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.

TYPHOON WARNING.

TYPHOON 1513 SOUDELOR (1513) 970 HPA

AT 15.1N 146.0E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.

POSITION GOOD.

MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.

RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES

ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 16.0N 143.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 17.0N 141.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 18.4N 137.5E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

935 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 20.0N 133.6E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS

OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Marine Weather Forecast for Kushiro NAVTEX area 2015-08-02T09:00:00Z

FQJP65 RJTD 020900

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA

SYNOPSIS 020900UTC

HIGH 1014HPA AT 44N 152E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS

COLD FRONT FROM 51N 162E TO 46N 162E 42N 157E 40N 150E

REMARKS

WARNING(DENSE FOG) CONTINUED

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