Marine Weather Warning for GMDSS Metarea XI 2016-08-28T06:00:00Z

WWJP90 RJTD 280600

EGC:2:1:31:11:01:00

SECURITE.

THIS WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE NORTH OF EQUATOR OF METAREA XI(POR) BY

JMA.

WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600.

WARNING VALID 290600.

WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.

GALE WARNING.

DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA

AT 33N 130E KYUSYU MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.

WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND

300 MILES ELSEWHERE.

GALE WARNING.

EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS

BOUNDED BY 41N 150E 40N 160E 33N 166E 33N 160E 38N 150E 41N 150E.

WARNING.

DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA

OF JAPAN.

WARNING.

DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E

42N 143E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 170E 44N

155E 38N 143E 38N 141E.

SUMMARY.

LOW 1012 HPA AT 53N 139E EAST 10 KT.

LOW 998 HPA AT 32N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY.

HIGH 1022 HPA AT 48N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY.

STATIONARY FRONT FROM 45N 144E TO 47N 147E 50N 154E 54N 159E 55N 165E

58N 172E 54N 176E.

REMARKS.

TYPHOON 1610 LIONROCK (1610) 940 HPA AT 27.7N 137.8E : SEE TROPICAL

CYCLONE WARNING.

HONG KONG METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE PROVIDES THE FOLLOWING

WARNING/INFORMATION FOR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.

WARNINGS

NIL.

SYNOPSIS (280600UTC) AND 24-HOUR FORECAST

UNSETTLED WEATHER IS AFFECTING SEAS NEAR LUZON AND SEAS

NEAR HAINAN.

SIGNIFICANT SWELL/HIGH SEAS

NIL.

THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE WEATHER

SCATTERED SQUALLY (SQ) SHOWERS (SH) AND THUNDERSTORMS (TS)

OVER SEAS NEAR LUZON AND SEAS NEAR HAINAN.

ISOLATED SQ SH AND TS OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, SEAS NEAR

TAIWAN, GULF OF THAILAND, SEAS NEAR BORNEO AND THE STRAIT

OF MALACCA.

SEA FOG/REDUCED VISIBILITY

VISIBILITY DOWN TO 2000 M IN SQ SH AND TS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Marine Weather Warning for GMDSS Metarea XI 2016-08-28T08:20:00Z

WWJP92 RJTD 280820

EGC:2:1:31:11:01:00

THIS FORECAST IS PROVIDED BY WEATHER MELBOURNE AND

ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH OF EQUATOR OF NAVAREA XI(POR) BY JMA.

IDY10240

SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for Metarea 8/10/11

NORTHERN AREA: EQUATOR TO 12S, 90E TO 142E AND SOUTHWARD TO COAST, 125E TO 142E

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC

For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 28 August 2016

PLEASE BE AWARE

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,

and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

Part 1 Warnings

Nil.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC

Refer to latest warnings.

Low 1006 hPa near 13S099E. Forecast 1007 hPa near 14S100E at 281800UTC and 1007

hPa near 15S102E at 290600UTC.

Part 3 Forecast

Refer to latest warnings.

Variable winds below 20 knots tending E quarter 10/20 knots east of 127E south

of 04S. Winds turning clockwise 10/20 knots within 360nm of low southwest of

Indonesia. Slight to moderate seas. Low swell increasing to low to moderate

west of line EQ098E 12S115E.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms within 240nm of low.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms remainder north of 07S east of

100E. Visibility reducing to below 2nm in precipitation.

WEATHER MELBOURNE

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Marine Weather Warning for GMDSS Metarea XI 2016-08-28T08:10:00Z

WWJP93 RJTD 280810

EGC:3:1:04:55S075E35060:11:00

THIS WARNING IS PROVIDED BY WEATHER MELBOURNE AND

ISSUED FOR THE CIRCULAR AREA OF METAREA XI(POR) BY JMA.

IDY21020

SECURITE

High Seas Weather Warning for METAREA 10

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, BNOC

At 0805UTC 28 August 2016

GALE WARNING FOR WESTERN AREA

PLEASE BE AWARE

Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,

and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION AT 0600UTC

Vigorous S/SE flow associated with a trough near 34S118E 37S120E 40S126E.

Forecast 34S120E 37S121E 39S126E at 281200UTC, 34S122E 37S124E 39S127E at

281800UTC and 33S124E 37S124E 39S127E at 290000UTC.

AREA AFFECTED

Bounded by 40S126E 40S123E 37S117E 34S117E 34S124E 37S124E 40S126E.

FORECAST

SE quarter winds 30/40 knots within 120nm southwest of trough. Winds easing

below 34 knots throughout by 290000UTC. Very rough seas. Moderate to heavy

swell.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Five-day Track Forecast 2016-08-28T06:00:00Z

WTPQ50 RJTD 280600

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TY 1610 LIONROCK (1610)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 280600UTC 27.7N 137.8E GOOD

MOVE NE 16KT

PRES 940HPA

MXWD 090KT

GUST 130KT

50KT 80NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST

30KT 350NM SOUTHEAST 210NM NORTHWEST

FORECAST

24HF 290600UTC 31.6N 142.2E 80NM 70%

MOVE NE 15KT

PRES 950HPA

MXWD 080KT

GUST 115KT

48HF 300600UTC 37.3N 142.4E 110NM 70%

MOVE N 15KT

PRES 965HPA

MXWD 065KT

GUST 095KT

72HF 310600UTC 44.6N 132.2E 140NM 70%

MOVE NW 26KT

PRES 970HPA

MXWD 060KT

GUST 085KT

96HF 010600UTC 44.7N 125.6E 240NM 70%

MOVE W 12KT =

Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning 2016-08-28T06:00:00Z

WTPQ31 RJTD 280600

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING

REASONING NO.20 FOR TY 1610 LIONROCK (1610)

1.GENERAL COMMENTS

REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.

POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.

2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION

NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.

3.MOTION FORECAST

POSITION ACCURACY AT 280600 UTC IS GOOD.

TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN ACCELERATE.

TY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTH-NORTHWEST.

4.INTENSITY FORECAST

TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.

FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.=

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