Guidance for Forecast by Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System 2012-04-01T18:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 011800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1201 PAKHAR (1201)

PSTN 011800UTC 11.5N 106.7E

PRES 1002HPA

MXWD 35KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 11.5N 106.5E +002HPA -002KT

T=012 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=018 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=024 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=030 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=036 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=042 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=048 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=054 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=060 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=066 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=072 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=078 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=084 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=090 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=096 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=102 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=108 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=114 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=120 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=126 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=132 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2012-04-01T21:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 012100

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1201 PAKHAR (1201)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 012100UTC 11.9N 106.4E FAIR

MOVE WNW 07KT

PRES 1002HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT

30KT 70NM

FORECAST

24HF 022100UTC 12.7N 104.1E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Guidance for Forecast by Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System 2012-04-01T18:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 011800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1201 PAKHAR (1201)

PSTN 011800UTC 11.5N 106.7E

PRES 1002HPA

MXWD 35KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=12 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=18 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=24 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=30 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=36 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=42 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=48 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=54 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=60 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=66 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=72 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=78 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=84 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Marine Weather Warning for Kushiro NAVTEX area 2012-04-01T18:00:00Z

WWJP85 RJTD 011800

VITAL WARNING FOR KUSHIRO NAVTEX AREA

011800UTC ISSUED AT 012100UTC

DEVELOPED LOW 960HPA AT 55N 154E MOVING NNE 10 KNOTS

FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 58N 157E WITH UNCERTANITY OF 85

MILES RADIUS

DEVELOPING LOW 1016HPA AT 40N 146E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS

GALE WARNING SEA EAST OF SAKHALIN WITH MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS

WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA EAST OF HOKKAIDO, SEA OFF KUSHIRO, EASTERN SEA

OFF SANRIKU, WESTERN SEA OFF SANRIKU

WARNING(ICING) SEA EAST OF SAKHALIN, SEA OFF ABASHIRI, SEA EAST OF

HOKKAIDO

NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 020300UTC

=

Marine Weather Warning for Otaru NAVTEX area 2012-04-01T18:00:00Z

WWJP74 RJTD 011800

IMPORTANT WARNING FOR OTARU NAVTEX AREA

011800UTC ISSUED AT 012100UTC

DEVELOPED LOW 960HPA AT 55N 154E MOVING NNE 10 KNOTS

FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 58N 157E WITH UNCERTANITY OF 85

MILES RADIUS

DEVELOPING LOW 1016HPA AT 40N 146E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS

WARNING(NEAR GALE) SEA OFF SOUTHERN COAST OF MARITIME PROVINCE, SEA

OFF NOTO

WARNING(ICING) SEA WEST OF SAKHALIN

NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BEFORE 020300UTC

=