Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2016-12-27T18:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 271800

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1626 NOCK-TEN (1626)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 271800UTC 13N 115E

MOVE SW 10KT

PRES 1004HPA =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2016-12-27T12:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 271200

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1626 NOCK-TEN (1626)

PSTN 271200UTC 14.2N 115.5E

PRES 996HPA

MXWD 40KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 13.1N 114.6E +001HPA -004KT

T=012 12.4N 113.6E +003HPA -005KT

T=018 11.6N 112.8E +002HPA -005KT

T=024 10.5N 111.9E +005HPA -004KT

T=030 09.1N 110.8E +004HPA -004KT

T=036 07.3N 109.4E +006HPA -010KT

T=042 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=048 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=054 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=060 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=066 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=072 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=078 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=084 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=090 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=096 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=102 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=108 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=114 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=120 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=126 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=132 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2016-12-27T15:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 271500

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1626 NOCK-TEN (1626)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 271500UTC 13.7N 115.1E FAIR

MOVE SW 08KT

PRES 998HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT

30KT 80NM

FORECAST

24HF 281500UTC 10.4N 111.7E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2016-12-27T12:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 271200

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1626 NOCK-TEN (1626)

PSTN 271200UTC 14.2N 115.5E

PRES 996HPA

MXWD 40KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 13.1N 114.7E +001HPA -009KT

T=12 12.4N 113.7E +004HPA -009KT

T=18 11.7N 112.9E +003HPA -007KT

T=24 10.8N 112.1E +005HPA -007KT

T=30 09.7N 111.1E +005HPA -007KT

T=36 08.4N 110.0E +007HPA -011KT

T=42 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=48 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=54 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=60 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=66 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=72 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=78 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=84 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2016-12-27T12:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 271200

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1626 NOCK-TEN (1626)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 271200UTC 14.2N 115.5E FAIR

MOVE SW SLOWLY

PRES 996HPA

MXWD 040KT

GUST 060KT

30KT 80NM

FORECAST

24HF 281200UTC 10.9N 112.1E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =