Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2017-06-13T00:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 130000

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1702 MERBOK (1702)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 130000UTC 24N 115E

MOVE N 10KT

PRES 1002HPA =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2017-06-12T18:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 121800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1702 MERBOK (1702)

PSTN 121800UTC 22.9N 114.6E

PRES 994HPA

MXWD 45KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 24.2N 115.2E +004HPA -012KT

T=012 25.3N 114.4E +003HPA -016KT

T=018 26.0N 116.1E +004HPA -014KT

T=024 26.7N 117.6E +005HPA -011KT

T=030 26.9N 120.0E +006HPA -008KT

T=036 26.8N 120.7E +004HPA -006KT

T=042 27.0N 124.5E +004HPA -008KT

T=048 27.7N 126.8E +002HPA -008KT

T=054 27.7N 128.8E +003HPA -006KT

T=060 28.4N 131.7E +002HPA -007KT

T=066 29.2N 134.2E +003HPA -008KT

T=072 31.4N 138.9E 000HPA -004KT

T=078 33.3N 142.9E 000HPA -002KT

T=084 34.8N 146.1E -001HPA -001KT

T=090 36.3N 149.4E -001HPA +001KT

T=096 37.6N 153.1E -003HPA 000KT

T=102 39.1N 157.7E -003HPA +001KT

T=108 39.8N 160.7E -005HPA +002KT

T=114 40.4N 163.7E -007HPA +002KT

T=120 40.8N 167.2E -009HPA +003KT

T=126 41.0N 170.7E -008HPA +004KT

T=132 40.9N 174.3E -009HPA +002KT=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2017-06-12T21:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 122100

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1702 MERBOK (1702)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 122100UTC 23.3N 114.6E FAIR

MOVE N 10KT

PRES 996HPA

MXWD 040KT

GUST 060KT

30KT 90NM

FORECAST

24HF 132100UTC 26.6N 118.4E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2017-06-12T18:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 121800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1702 MERBOK (1702)

PSTN 121800UTC 22.9N 114.6E

PRES 994HPA

MXWD 45KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 24.3N 115.1E +004HPA -017KT

T=12 25.8N 114.6E +005HPA -021KT

T=18 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=24 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=30 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=36 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=42 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=48 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=54 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=60 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=66 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=72 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=78 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=84 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2017-06-12T18:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 121800

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1702 MERBOK (1702) DOWNGRADED FROM STS

ANALYSIS

PSTN 121800UTC 22.9N 114.6E FAIR

MOVE N 10KT

PRES 994HPA

MXWD 045KT

GUST 065KT

30KT 90NM

FORECAST

24HF 131800UTC 26.4N 117.2E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =