Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2017-02-05T18:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 051800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TD

PSTN 051800UTC 11.4N 130.0E

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 30KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 12.2N 129.7E +002HPA +001KT

T=012 12.7N 129.6E 000HPA +002KT

T=018 12.8N 129.6E +003HPA +003KT

T=024 13.0N 129.8E +001HPA +005KT

T=030 13.1N 129.7E +004HPA +005KT

T=036 13.1N 129.7E +002HPA +005KT

T=042 13.1N 129.7E +005HPA +005KT

T=048 13.0N 129.7E +003HPA +004KT

T=054 13.1N 129.6E +006HPA +003KT

T=060 13.0N 130.0E +003HPA +001KT

T=066 13.1N 130.3E +006HPA +001KT

T=072 13.1N 130.7E +004HPA -002KT

T=078 13.1N 131.0E +007HPA -003KT

T=084 13.2N 131.7E +004HPA -002KT

T=090 12.9N 131.9E +006HPA 000KT

T=096 12.7N 132.5E +005HPA -001KT

T=102 12.6N 133.4E +008HPA -001KT

T=108 11.7N 133.2E +005HPA +001KT

T=114 10.7N 132.0E +008HPA +003KT

T=120 10.1N 130.8E +007HPA +003KT

T=126 09.4N 130.4E +010HPA +002KT

T=132 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2017-02-05T21:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 052100

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD

ANALYSIS

PSTN 052100UTC 11.8N 130.0E POOR

MOVE NNE 07KT

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 030KT

GUST 045KT

FORECAST

24HF 062100UTC 14.0N 130.8E 110NM 70%

MOVE NE 07KT

PRES 998HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2017-02-05T18:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 051800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TD

PSTN 051800UTC 11.4N 130.0E

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 30KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 12.2N 129.7E +002HPA +001KT

T=12 12.8N 129.7E 000HPA +002KT

T=18 13.3N 130.1E +003HPA +003KT

T=24 13.8N 130.3E +001HPA +004KT

T=30 13.7N 130.3E +003HPA +007KT

T=36 13.3N 130.3E +001HPA +004KT

T=42 13.2N 130.3E +004HPA +004KT

T=48 12.9N 130.4E +003HPA +003KT

T=54 12.8N 130.2E +006HPA +002KT

T=60 12.6N 130.2E +003HPA 000KT

T=66 12.4N 130.3E +006HPA 000KT

T=72 12.2N 130.4E +005HPA -003KT

T=78 11.9N 130.6E +007HPA -005KT

T=84 11.6N 131.2E +004HPA -005KT=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2017-02-05T18:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 051800

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD

ANALYSIS

PSTN 051800UTC 11.4N 130.0E POOR

MOVE NNE 07KT

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 030KT

GUST 045KT

FORECAST

24HF 061800UTC 14.1N 130.7E 110NM 70%

MOVE N 07KT

PRES 998HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2017-02-05T12:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 051200

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TD

PSTN 051200UTC 10.0N 129.9E

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 30KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 11.1N 130.0E -002HPA +002KT

T=012 12.1N 129.5E 000HPA +003KT

T=018 12.7N 129.4E -002HPA +003KT

T=024 12.9N 129.4E +001HPA +005KT

T=030 13.2N 129.5E -001HPA +006KT

T=036 13.4N 129.5E +002HPA +008KT

T=042 13.8N 130.3E -001HPA +009KT

T=048 13.7N 130.4E +002HPA +010KT

T=054 13.5N 130.6E +001HPA +008KT

T=060 13.4N 130.6E +003HPA +006KT

T=066 13.3N 130.7E +001HPA +004KT

T=072 13.2N 130.8E +004HPA +003KT

T=078 13.2N 131.1E +002HPA +001KT

T=084 13.3N 131.4E +004HPA 000KT

T=090 13.4N 132.2E +002HPA 000KT

T=096 13.5N 133.2E +004HPA +002KT

T=102 13.5N 133.9E +003HPA +001KT

T=108 13.5N 134.1E +005HPA +001KT

T=114 12.9N 133.8E +003HPA +003KT

T=120 11.9N 133.3E +006HPA +004KT

T=126 10.7N 132.7E +004HPA +002KT

T=132 11.3N 134.6E +007HPA +004KT=