Typhoon Best Track 2014-10-17T06:00:00Z

AXPQ20 RJTD 170600

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE BEST TRACK

NAME 1415 KALMAEGI (1415)

PERIOD FROM SEP1118UTC TO SEP1718UTC

1118 13.5N 134.0E 1004HPA //KT 1200 13.7N 132.2E 1004HPA //KT

1206 13.7N 131.2E 1000HPA 35KT 1212 13.7N 130.2E 996HPA 40KT

1218 13.7N 129.4E 990HPA 45KT 1300 14.2N 128.8E 985HPA 50KT

1306 14.9N 127.4E 980HPA 55KT 1312 15.4N 126.6E 975HPA 60KT

1318 15.8N 125.7E 970HPA 65KT 1400 16.4N 124.5E 970HPA 65KT

1406 17.0N 123.4E 970HPA 65KT 1412 17.8N 121.7E 970HPA 65KT

1418 17.9N 119.6E 975HPA 60KT 1500 18.0N 118.2E 970HPA 65KT

1506 18.6N 116.3E 970HPA 65KT 1512 18.9N 114.6E 965HPA 70KT

1518 19.0N 112.8E 965HPA 70KT 1600 19.7N 111.2E 960HPA 75KT

1606 20.5N 109.7E 960HPA 75KT 1612 21.1N 108.0E 970HPA 65KT

1618 21.8N 106.4E 980HPA 55KT 1700 22.4N 104.7E 985HPA 50KT

1706 22.9N 103.1E 994HPA 40KT 1712 22.4N 101.8E 998HPA //KT

1718 21.6N 100.8E 1002HPA //KT

REMARKS

TD FORMATION AT SEP1118UTC

FROM TD TO TS AT SEP1206UTC

FROM TS TO STS AT SEP1300UTC

FROM STS TO TY AT SEP1318UTC

FROM TY TO STS AT SEP1418UTC

FROM STS TO TY AT SEP1500UTC

FROM TY TO STS AT SEP1618UTC

FROM STS TO TS AT SEP1706UTC

FROM TS TO TD AT SEP1712UTC

DISSIPATION AT SEP1800UTC=

Typhoon Best Track 2014-10-17T02:00:00Z

AXPQ20 RJTD 170200

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE BEST TRACK

NAME 1414 FENGSHEN (1414)

PERIOD FROM SEP0512UTC TO SEP1100UTC

0512 20.3N 127.6E 1004HPA //KT 0518 22.2N 126.8E 1004HPA //KT

0600 23.6N 126.6E 1004HPA //KT 0606 24.5N 126.7E 1004HPA //KT

0612 25.0N 127.9E 1002HPA //KT 0618 26.3N 128.8E 998HPA 35KT

0700 27.2N 129.8E 996HPA 35KT 0706 27.4N 130.9E 994HPA 40KT

0712 27.9N 132.8E 992HPA 45KT 0718 28.4N 133.7E 985HPA 50KT

0800 28.9N 135.6E 980HPA 55KT 0806 30.0N 137.3E 975HPA 60KT

0812 30.9N 138.6E 975HPA 60KT 0818 31.6N 140.4E 975HPA 60KT

0900 32.6N 143.1E 975HPA 60KT 0906 33.1N 144.8E 975HPA 60KT

0912 34.0N 146.8E 980HPA 55KT 0918 35.0N 148.9E 980HPA 55KT

1000 35.8N 152.6E 985HPA 50KT 1006 37.2N 156.0E 985HPA 50KT

1012 38.5N 159.3E 990HPA 45KT 1018 39.7N 163.6E 990HPA //KT

1100 40.5N 168.0E 992HPA //KT

REMARKS

TD FORMATION AT SEP0512UTC

FROM TD TO TS AT SEP0618UTC

FROM TS TO STS AT SEP0718UTC

FROM STS TO TS AT SEP1012UTC

FROM TS TO L AT SEP1018UTC

DISSIPATION AT SEP1106UTC=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2014-10-14T00:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 140000

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER STS 1419 VONGFONG (1419)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 140000UTC 39N 143E

MOVE NE 40KT

PRES 980HPA

MXWD 060KT

30KT 500NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2014-10-13T18:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 131800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME STS 1419 VONGFONG (1419)

PSTN 131800UTC 36.5N 139.7E

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 55KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 39.2N 142.9E -006HPA +009KT

T=012 40.5N 145.3E -009HPA +020KT

T=018 42.2N 148.3E -008HPA +015KT

T=024 44.2N 151.2E -008HPA +013KT

T=030 45.8N 154.3E -007HPA +013KT

T=036 47.5N 158.2E -006HPA +011KT

T=042 49.2N 162.4E -004HPA +007KT

T=048 50.4N 166.7E -003HPA +007KT

T=054 50.9N 171.1E -003HPA +006KT

T=060 50.9N 175.9E -002HPA +005KT

T=066 50.6N 178.5W -001HPA +003KT

T=072 50.0N 172.9W -001HPA -001KT

T=078 49.7N 167.0W -002HPA -004KT

T=084 49.2N 164.9W -004HPA -004KT

T=090 49.0N 163.4W -002HPA -004KT

T=096 48.5N 161.3W -005HPA -002KT

T=102 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=108 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=114 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=120 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=126 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=132 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2014-10-13T21:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 132100

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME STS 1419 VONGFONG (1419)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 132100UTC 38.0N 141.5E GOOD

MOVE ENE 40KT

PRES 980HPA

MXWD 055KT

GUST 080KT

50KT 130NM SOUTH 100NM NORTH

30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST

FORECAST

24HF 142100UTC 45.2N 154.4E 130NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =