Typhoon Best Track 2015-01-19T06:00:00Z

AXPQ20 RJTD 190600

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE BEST TRACK

NAME 1423 JANGMI (1423)

PERIOD FROM DEC2800UTC TO JAN0112UTC

2800 7.4N 128.7E 1006HPA //KT 2806 7.9N 128.0E 1002HPA //KT

2812 8.2N 127.2E 1000HPA 35KT 2818 8.6N 126.6E 998HPA 35KT

2900 9.0N 126.0E 1000HPA 35KT 2906 9.4N 125.4E 998HPA 35KT

2912 9.5N 124.7E 998HPA 35KT 2918 9.9N 124.1E 996HPA 40KT

3000 10.1N 123.0E 998HPA 35KT 3006 9.6N 122.4E 1000HPA 35KT

3012 9.4N 122.1E 1002HPA //KT 3018 9.0N 121.8E 1002HPA //KT

3100 8.7N 121.6E 1004HPA //KT 3106 8.2N 120.8E 1002HPA //KT

3112 7.5N 120.4E 1004HPA //KT 3118 6.9N 119.5E 1004HPA //KT

0100 6.8N 119.0E 1006HPA //KT 0106 6.6N 118.5E 1004HPA //KT

0112 6.4N 117.5E 1006HPA //KT

REMARKS

TD FORMATION AT DEC2800UTC

FROM TD TO TS AT DEC2812UTC

FROM TS TO TD AT DEC3012UTC

DISSIPATION AT JAN0118UTC=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2015-01-18T18:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 181800

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1501 MEKKHALA (1501)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 181800UTC 16N 122E

MOVE NW 10KT

PRES 1004HPA =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2015-01-18T12:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 181200

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1501 MEKKHALA (1501)

PSTN 181200UTC 14.9N 122.6E

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 35KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 15.0N 122.5E +002HPA -007KT

T=012 15.4N 122.3E +007HPA -007KT

T=018 16.0N 121.6E +006HPA -006KT

T=024 16.2N 120.3E +009HPA -005KT

T=030 16.2N 120.8E +009HPA -008KT

T=036 16.6N 120.7E +011HPA -010KT

T=042 16.6N 121.2E +008HPA -012KT

T=048 18.4N 122.5E +011HPA -013KT

T=054 20.0N 123.3E +009HPA -014KT

T=060 21.5N 124.5E +010HPA -012KT

T=066 23.9N 126.8E +006HPA -006KT

T=072 25.8N 129.2E +005HPA -001KT

T=078 28.7N 132.1E 000HPA +004KT

T=084 31.5N 135.2E -003HPA +004KT

T=090 34.5N 137.9E -008HPA +005KT

T=096 37.1N 140.0E -009HPA +004KT

T=102 39.3N 142.8E -013HPA +005KT

T=108 40.7N 143.7E -015HPA +013KT

T=114 41.5N 144.4E -016HPA +008KT

T=120 41.9N 144.9E -015HPA +008KT

T=126 41.7N 146.1E -014HPA +006KT

T=132 42.0N 149.2E -012HPA +006KT=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2015-01-18T15:00:00Z

WTPQ20 RJTD 181500

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1501 MEKKHALA (1501)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 181500UTC 15.2N 122.6E FAIR

MOVE NW 09KT

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT

30KT 150NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH

FORECAST

24HF 191500UTC 16.4N 121.6E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2015-01-18T12:00:00Z

FXPQ20 RJTD 181200

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1501 MEKKHALA (1501)

PSTN 181200UTC 14.9N 122.6E

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 35KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 15.0N 122.5E -001HPA -004KT

T=12 15.3N 122.5E +004HPA -012KT

T=18 15.6N 122.7E +004HPA -015KT

T=24 15.9N 122.7E +008HPA -014KT

T=30 16.2N 122.6E +007HPA -015KT

T=36 16.7N 122.8E +010HPA -017KT

T=42 17.4N 122.5E +008HPA -020KT

T=48 18.2N 122.6E +011HPA -022KT

T=54 18.9N 123.0E +009HPA -022KT

T=60 20.0N 123.9E +010HPA -022KT

T=66 21.0N 125.5E +007HPA -016KT

T=72 24.3N 129.8E +008HPA -013KT

T=78 26.0N 132.1E +005HPA -007KT

T=84 27.6N 134.8E +005HPA -004KT=