Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2015-04-06T00:00:00Z

WTPQ21 RJTD 060000

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1505 HAISHEN (1505)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 060000UTC 09N 151E

MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY

PRES 1004HPA =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2015-04-05T18:00:00Z

FXPQ21 RJTD 051800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1505 HAISHEN (1505)

PSTN 051800UTC 08.9N 150.4E

PRES 998HPA

MXWD 35KT

FORECAST BY TYPHOON ENSEMBLE PREDICTION SYSTEM

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=006 08.7N 150.5E +003HPA +001KT

T=012 09.0N 150.7E +001HPA -001KT

T=018 09.1N 150.9E +005HPA -001KT

T=024 09.2N 150.8E +003HPA -002KT

T=030 09.2N 150.7E +006HPA -003KT

T=036 09.3N 150.6E +004HPA -004KT

T=042 09.5N 150.3E +008HPA -004KT

T=048 09.9N 150.1E +006HPA -007KT

T=054 10.4N 150.4E +008HPA -005KT

T=060 10.7N 150.2E +005HPA -004KT

T=066 10.9N 149.9E +008HPA -002KT

T=072 11.0N 149.2E +007HPA -005KT

T=078 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=084 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=090 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=096 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=102 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=108 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=114 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=120 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=126 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=132 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2015-04-05T21:00:00Z

WTPQ21 RJTD 052100

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1505 HAISHEN (1505)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 052100UTC 08.9N 150.4E FAIR

MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY

PRES 998HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT

30KT 60NM

FORECAST

24HF 062100UTC 09.2N 150.0E 70NM 70%

MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT

45HF 071800UTC 09.6N 148.9E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Guidance – Forecast Track by Numerical Weather Prediction 2015-04-05T18:00:00Z

FXPQ21 RJTD 051800

RSMC GUIDANCE FOR FORECAST

NAME TS 1505 HAISHEN (1505)

PSTN 051800UTC 08.9N 150.4E

PRES 998HPA

MXWD 35KT

FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODEL

TIME PSTN PRES MXWD

(CHANGE FROM T=0)

T=06 08.7N 150.5E +003HPA -002KT

T=12 08.9N 150.6E +001HPA -003KT

T=18 08.9N 150.6E +005HPA -002KT

T=24 08.9N 150.7E +003HPA -004KT

T=30 09.2N 150.6E +006HPA -004KT

T=36 09.2N 150.4E +004HPA -004KT

T=42 09.4N 150.0E +008HPA -005KT

T=48 09.5N 149.7E +006HPA -007KT

T=54 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=60 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=66 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=72 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=78 ///// ////// /////// //////

T=84 ///// ////// /////// //////=

Tropical Cyclone Advisory for Analysis and Forecast 2015-04-05T18:00:00Z

WTPQ21 RJTD 051800

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 1505 HAISHEN (1505)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 051800UTC 08.9N 150.4E FAIR

MOVE W SLOWLY

PRES 998HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT

30KT 60NM

FORECAST

24HF 061800UTC 09.2N 150.0E 70NM 70%

MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 035KT

GUST 050KT

48HF 071800UTC 09.6N 148.9E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =